Cover
Title Page
Copyright
Preface
Foreword
Contents
Figures and Tables
Executive Summary
Acknowledgments
Chapter One: Introduction
Alternative Models
Assessing and Accepting Risk
Values and Interests
Keeping Pace with Change
Choices for America
Chapter Two: The Global Economy
Trends and Challenges
Including or Excluding China
Global Versus Regional Rule-Setting
Chapter Three: National Defense
Europe
East Asia
Counterterrorist Operations
Nuclear Forces
Readiness
Enhancing Allied Defenses
Choices for Sizing the Defense Budget
Chapter Four: Counterterrorism
Tactical Versus Strategic Counterterrorism
What Will Be Needed to Defeat ISIS?
Picking Partners and Identifying Enemies
Rebalancing Civil Liberties and Security
Chapter Five: Cybersecurity
U.S. Strengths and Vulnerabilities
Things to Come
Addressing Vulnerabilities
Privacy Versus Security
Limiting the Likelihood of Cyber War
Chapter Six: Climate Change
Potential Disruption
Responses
Challenges of Collective Action
Lead or Follow on Emissions Reductions
Current or New Multinational Path
Chapter Seven: Europe
Confronting or Engaging Russia
Whither Ukraine: Partition or Neutral Buffer
Addressing European Disintegration
Chapter Eight: East Asia
Accommodating Versus Containing China
Isolating or Engaging North Korea
Chapter Nine: Middle East and South Asia
Engaging or Confronting Iran
Ending the War in Syria
Arab-Israeli Settlement
Afghanistan and Pakistan: Staying or Going
Overlearning the Lessons of the Recent Past
U.S. National Strategy
Conclusion
Abbreviations
References